Mstone

0x4cdac2...309f92

Smart Score

Win Rate

46.5%

Total P&L

+$432

Trade Count

155

Sharpe Ratio

0.63

Sortino Ratio

0.93

Max Drawdown

564.5%

ROI

26.0%

Profit Factor

1.84

Kelly Fraction

0.212

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

016.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	BUY	65.0¢	6.571	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:45AM-4:50AM ET	BUY	65.0¢	1.11	Mar 5
Solana Up or Down - March 5, 4:40AM-4:45AM ET	BUY	52.3¢	7.69	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4AM ET	BUY	40.0¢	12.5	Mar 5
Solana Up or Down - March 5, 3AM ET	BUY	46.0¢	10.87	Mar 5
Ethereum Up or Down - March 5, 3AM ET	BUY	40.0¢	12.5	Mar 5
Will the Democratic Party win the NY-03 House seat?	SELL	65.0¢	1.46	Mar 5
Predict.fun FDV above $600M one day after launch?	SELL	13.0¢	34.76	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 12AM ET	BUY	40.0¢	12.5	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7PM ET	BUY	42.0¢	6.88	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7PM ET	BUY	42.0¢	5	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 7PM ET	BUY	42.0¢	0.02	Mar 4
Solana Up or Down - March 4, 3PM ET	BUY	40.0¢	12.5	Mar 4
Ethereum Up or Down - March 4, 2PM ET	BUY	40.0¢	12.5	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1PM ET	BUY	40.0¢	12.5	Mar 4
Ethereum Up or Down - March 4, 11AM ET	BUY	40.0¢	12.5	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 10AM ET	BUY	40.0¢	12.5	Mar 4
Solana Up or Down - March 4, 10AM ET	BUY	40.0¢	12.5	Mar 4
Ethereum Up or Down - March 4, 10AM ET	BUY	40.0¢	12.5	Mar 4
Solana Up or Down - March 4, 5AM ET	BUY	40.0¢	12.5	Mar 4

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing16.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.89

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)14.7%

Win Consistency36.6%

Profit Factor0.42

Drawdown Resilience0.34

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.34

Weekly Sharpe est.0.26

Trading Activity155 trades · 22 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,0481d profit21d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue