mtm4

0x3e6f50...27f19d

Smart Score

Win Rate

52.4%

Total P&L

+$960

Trade Count

3,998

Sharpe Ratio

0.48

Sortino Ratio

5.00

Max Drawdown

58539.3%

ROI

3.9%

Profit Factor

1.11

Kelly Fraction

0.054

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

022/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Kevin Hart attend the Oscars?	SELL	87.0¢	11	Mar 4
Will Mr. Nobody Against Putin win Best Documentary Feature Film at the 98th Academy Awards?	BUY	75.0¢	3	Mar 4
Will St. John’s win the 2025-2026 Big East Men’s Basketball regular season championship?	SELL	48.0¢	29	Mar 4
Will Two People Exchanging Saliva win Best Live Action Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?	BUY	40.0¢	11.131	Mar 4
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?	SELL	78.9¢	41	Mar 4
Will St. John’s win the 2025-2026 Big East Men’s Basketball regular season championship?	SELL	45.0¢	1.52	Mar 4
Will St. John’s win the 2025-2026 Big East Men’s Basketball regular season championship?	BUY	41.0¢	11.3	Mar 4
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?	SELL	79.0¢	16	Mar 4
Will Kylie Jenner attend the Oscars?	SELL	97.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will NRG win Masters Santiago 2026?	BUY	24.4¢	20	Mar 4
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?	BUY	72.3¢	20	Mar 4
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?	BUY	73.3¢	17	Mar 4
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?	BUY	70.0¢	20	Mar 4
Will Connor Storrie attend the Oscars?	BUY	50.0¢	4.102	Mar 4
Will New Zealand win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?	SELL	22.0¢	20	Mar 4
Will New Zealand win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?	BUY	15.0¢	20	Mar 4
Will South Africa win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?	SELL	9.0¢	28	Mar 4
Will South Africa win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?	SELL	9.0¢	7	Mar 4
Will South Africa win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?	BUY	11.0¢	20	Mar 4
Will South Africa win the 2026 ICC Men’s T20 World Cup?	BUY	11.3¢	20	Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing22

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.21

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)20.0%

Win Consistency50.7%

Profit Factor0.57

Drawdown Resilience0.46

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.46

Weekly Sharpe est.0.35

Trading Activity3,998 trades · 35 active days

P&L Calendar

$17,4075d profit30d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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