MtuM55

0x2c28f8...0a7d1f

Smart Score

Win Rate

13.4%

Total P&L

+$128

Trade Count

706

Sharpe Ratio

1.11

Sortino Ratio

150.68

Max Drawdown

120.7%

ROI

8.9%

Profit Factor

1.16

Kelly Fraction

0.019

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

024.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
GPT-5.3 released by March 8, 2026?	BUY	0.1¢	1,000	Mar 5
XRP Up or Down - March 4, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	BUY	7.6¢	52.885	Mar 4
XRP Up or Down - March 4, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	BUY	12.0¢	8.333	Mar 4
Solana Up or Down - March 4, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	BUY	11.4¢	8.75	Mar 4
Ethereum Up or Down - March 4, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	BUY	9.8¢	20.5	Mar 4
Ethereum Up or Down - March 4, 4:50PM-4:55PM ET	BUY	14.0¢	7.143	Mar 4
Will Reza Pahlavi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	0.6¢	158.429	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?	BUY	1.9¢	52.632	Mar 4
Ethereum Up or Down - March 4, 1:30PM-1:45PM ET	BUY	23.0¢	4.348	Mar 4
Will China invade Taiwan by March 31, 2026?	SELL	1.2¢	200	Mar 4
Will Trump and Putin meet next in Turkey?	SELL	3.6¢	37.03	Mar 4
NATO x Russia military clash by March 31, 2026?	SELL	3.7¢	50	Mar 4
GTA VI released before June 2026?	SELL	2.4¢	86.95	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March?	SELL	2.3¢	166.66	Mar 4
Solana Up or Down - March 4, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	BUY	3.0¢	33.333	Mar 4
XRP Up or Down - March 4, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	BUY	20.0¢	5	Mar 4
Ethereum Up or Down - March 4, 1:30PM-1:35PM ET	BUY	6.0¢	16.667	Mar 4
Ethereum Up or Down - March 4, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	BUY	5.0¢	40	Mar 4
Solana Up or Down - March 4, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	BUY	9.0¢	22.222	Mar 4
Ethereum Up or Down - March 4, 1:25PM-1:30PM ET	BUY	12.0¢	8.333	Mar 4

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing24.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.35

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)22.4%

Win Consistency57.9%

Profit Factor0.64

Drawdown Resilience0.52

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.52

Weekly Sharpe est.0.39

Trading Activity706 trades · 25 active days

P&L Calendar

$7253d profit22d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue