Muki

0x054802...7666a0

Smart Score

Win Rate

70.5%

Total P&L

-$641

Trade Count

204

Sharpe Ratio

0.43

Sortino Ratio

11.93

Max Drawdown

416.4%

ROI

-2.2%

Profit Factor

0.72

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

027.8/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	SELL	94.1¢	59.82	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	84.0¢	59.821	Mar 5
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 2, 2026?	BUY	99.3¢	52.306	Mar 3
Will Israel strike Gaza on March 1, 2026?	BUY	99.5¢	50.251	Mar 3
US strikes Iran by February 21, 2026?	BUY	2.1¢	9,440.923	Feb 20
US strikes Iran by February 20, 2026?	BUY	2.2¢	9,086.364	Feb 20
Israel strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	BUY	81.0¢	1,631.222	Feb 18
US strikes Iran by February 17, 2026?	BUY	99.2¢	40.323	Feb 17
US strikes Iran by February 17, 2026?	BUY	99.4¢	50.302	Feb 17
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 16, 2026?	BUY	69.0¢	14.493	Feb 16
US strikes Iran by February 17, 2026?	BUY	98.8¢	1,230.567	Feb 16
Will Israel strike Gaza on February 15, 2026?	BUY	4.7¢	21.101	Feb 15
US strikes Iran by February 15, 2026?	BUY	98.9¢	1,216.805	Feb 14
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 8:50AM-8:55AM ET	BUY	85.0¢	1.176	Feb 14
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 8:40AM-8:45AM ET	BUY	72.9¢	1.372	Feb 14
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 8:35AM-8:40AM ET	BUY	75.0¢	1.333	Feb 14
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 8:30AM-8:35AM ET	BUY	98.0¢	1.02	Feb 14
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 8:25AM-8:30AM ET	BUY	99.0¢	1.01	Feb 14
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 8:20AM-8:25AM ET	BUY	94.0¢	1.064	Feb 14
Bitcoin Up or Down - February 14, 8:15AM-8:20AM ET	BUY	94.0¢	1.064	Feb 14

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing27.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.53

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)25.3%

Win Consistency46.8%

Profit Factor0.72

Drawdown Resilience0.58

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.58

Weekly Sharpe est.0.44

Trading Activity204 trades · 39 active days

P&L Calendar

$9,1307d profit28d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue