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muzjek

0x4c64f3...82e599
Smart Score
20
Win Rate
26.1%
Total P&L
+$5
Trade Count
42
Sharpe Ratio
1.39
Sortino Ratio
21.89
Max Drawdown
433.3%
ROI
0.1%
Profit Factor
1.59
Kelly Fraction
0.097
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
020.1/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Haiti win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY99.9¢71.071Mar 5
Pacers vs. ClippersBUY86.0¢28.953Mar 4
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL99.8¢78.07Mar 4
Will Australia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY99.9¢78.078Mar 4
Grizzlies vs. TimberwolvesBUY13.0¢52.308Mar 3
Spurs vs. 76ersBUY73.0¢33.973Mar 3
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?SELL99.7¢93.18Mar 3
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?BUY99.8¢93.186Mar 2
Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL99.8¢105.1Mar 2
Will Uzbekistan win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY99.9¢105.105Mar 1
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?SELL99.8¢95.19Mar 1
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY99.8¢95.19Mar 1
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL99.8¢98.09Mar 1
Will Saudi Arabia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY99.9¢98.098Feb 28
Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?SELL99.8¢105.1Feb 28
Will the New Orleans Pelicans win the 2026 NBA Finals?BUY99.9¢105.105Feb 28
Will Cho Eun-hee win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionSELL99.8¢94.09Feb 27
Will Cho Eun-hee win the 2026 Seoul Mayoral ElectionBUY99.9¢94.094Feb 27
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL99.7¢87.17Feb 27
Will Qatar win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY99.8¢87.174Feb 27

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%4%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%4%70–80%4%80–90%88%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing20.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.11
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)18.3%
Win Consistency54.2%
Profit Factor0.52
Drawdown Resilience0.42
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.42
Weekly Sharpe est.0.32
Trading Activity42 trades · 17 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$1505d profit12d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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