mxd1234

0x9402f9...03add2

Smart Score

Win Rate

28.7%

Total P&L

+$348

Trade Count

1,970

Sharpe Ratio

0.73

Sortino Ratio

6.43

Max Drawdown

1637.0%

ROI

10.8%

Profit Factor

3.04

Kelly Fraction

0.193

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

033.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 5?	SELL	1.2¢	12.32	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 5?	SELL	0.1¢	22.25	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 5?	SELL	0.3¢	20.99	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 5?	SELL	1.2¢	7.68	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 5?	SELL	5.0¢	11	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 5?	BUY	50.0¢	5	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 7?	BUY	49.0¢	5	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 5?	BUY	55.0¢	5	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 5?	BUY	60.0¢	5	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 5?	BUY	65.0¢	5	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 5?	BUY	18.0¢	5	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 4?	SELL	5.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 7?	BUY	12.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 7?	BUY	2.5¢	10	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 7?	BUY	15.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $70,000 on March 4?	SELL	30.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 7?	BUY	3.0¢	10	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 7?	BUY	8.0¢	62.5	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on March 7?	BUY	17.0¢	10	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $64,000 on March 6?	SELL	97.1¢	5	Mar 4

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing33.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.85

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)30.6%

Win Consistency48.0%

Profit Factor0.87

Drawdown Resilience0.71

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.71

Weekly Sharpe est.0.54

Trading Activity1,970 trades · 51 active days

P&L Calendar

$21722d profit29d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue