Nabotz1

0x64360e...5b068b

Smart Score

Win Rate

42.9%

Total P&L

+$8

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

0.79

Sortino Ratio

5.01

Max Drawdown

120.6%

ROI

0.4%

Profit Factor

1.12

Kelly Fraction

0.047

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

016.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	99.8¢	34.068	Mar 5
Hawks vs. Bucks	BUY	50.0¢	30	Mar 4
Hornets vs. Celtics	BUY	70.0¢	54	Mar 4
Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	SELL	99.6¢	57.17	Mar 4
Will Oliver Bearman be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	BUY	99.7¢	57.171	Mar 4
Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	SELL	99.8¢	73.07	Mar 4
Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	73.073	Mar 4
Wizards vs. Magic	BUY	90.0¢	40	Mar 3
Thunder vs. Bulls	BUY	21.0¢	32.857	Mar 3
Knicks vs. Raptors	BUY	58.0¢	30	Mar 3
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	SELL	99.7¢	32.06	Mar 2
Will Villarreal win the 2025–26 La Liga?	BUY	99.8¢	32.064	Mar 2
Clippers vs. Warriors	BUY	54.0¢	34.074	Mar 2
Celtics vs. Bucks	BUY	26.0¢	33.077	Mar 2
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	99.7¢	57.11	Mar 1
Will Iran win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	99.8¢	57.114	Mar 1
Will Monaco win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	SELL	99.8¢	48.04	Mar 1
Will Monaco win the 2025–26 French Ligue 1?	BUY	99.9¢	48.048	Feb 28
Fabric FDV above $600M one day after launch?	BUY	99.6¢	10.04	Feb 28
Will Tunisia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	99.8¢	55.11	Feb 28

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing16.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.90

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)14.9%

Win Consistency34.5%

Profit Factor0.43

Drawdown Resilience0.34

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.34

Weekly Sharpe est.0.26

Trading Activity47 trades · 22 active days

P&L Calendar

$2126d profit16d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue