nakdjq

0x13bb95...de22d0

Smart Score

Win Rate

45.0%

Total P&L

+$10

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-3.76

Sortino Ratio

-3.66

Max Drawdown

4.3%

ROI

0.4%

Profit Factor

4.09

Kelly Fraction

0.340

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

042.8/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the Charlotte Hornets win the 2026 NBA Finals?	BUY	1.5¢	100	Mar 5
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?	SELL	99.9¢	116.61	Mar 2
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?	BUY	96.9¢	116.615	Feb 13
US strikes Iran by February 11, 2026?	SELL	99.9¢	112.73	Feb 11
US strikes Iran by February 11, 2026?	BUY	98.5¢	112.731	Feb 10
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	98.6¢	100	Feb 3
Will Ron DeSantis win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	98.6¢	100	Feb 2
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?	SELL	99.9¢	111.57	Feb 1
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by January 31?	BUY	95.0¢	111.579	Jan 23
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	SELL	1.0¢	100	Jan 19
Will Trump nominate Judy Shelton as the next Fed chair?	BUY	1.1¢	100	Jan 19
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	SELL	1.7¢	100	Jan 14
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	BUY	1.7¢	100	Jan 13
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	SELL	97.0¢	100	Jan 11
Will Aston Villa win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	BUY	97.0¢	100	Jan 9
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026?	SELL	1.9¢	100	Jan 6
Will the Pittsburgh Steelers win Super Bowl 2026?	BUY	2.0¢	100	Jan 5
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?	SELL	99.7¢	100	Jan 3
US x Venezuela military engagement by December 31?	BUY	95.0¢	100	Dec 25
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	1.1¢	100	Dec 20

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing42.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.35

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)39.0%

Win Consistency20.8%

Profit Factor1.11

Drawdown Resilience0.90

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.90

Weekly Sharpe est.0.68

Trading Activity49 trades · 44 active days

P&L Calendar

+$819d profit23d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue