Nanwithamission

0xa41ac4...550fd7

Smart Score

Win Rate

18.6%

Total P&L

+$4.4K

Trade Count

2,892

Sharpe Ratio

1.88

Sortino Ratio

33.16

Max Drawdown

20600.2%

ROI

13.6%

Profit Factor

1.39

Kelly Fraction

0.052

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

030/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on March 5?	SELL	4.2¢	75	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 14°C on March 5?	SELL	0.2¢	100	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 15°C on March 5?	SELL	0.1¢	100	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 16°C on March 5?	SELL	0.9¢	100	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C or higher on March 5?	SELL	1.9¢	5.37	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $70,000 and $72,000 on March 6?	SELL	27.0¢	0.4	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on March 5?	SELL	12.0¢	11.1	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 75°F or below on March 5?	SELL	2.0¢	55.01	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 84-85°F on March 5?	SELL	2.0¢	5	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 86-87°F on March 5?	SELL	0.5¢	5	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on March 5?	SELL	0.3¢	70	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 90°F or higher on March 5?	SELL	0.2¢	45.01	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 88-89°F on March 5?	SELL	0.9¢	5	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be 75°F or below on March 5?	SELL	2.1¢	5	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 48-49°F on March 5?	SELL	2.3¢	75	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be 50°F or higher on March 5?	SELL	0.3¢	75	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	BUY	28.0¢	100	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on March 5?	SELL	12.0¢	5	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 17°C on March 5?	SELL	12.0¢	83.898	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C or higher on March 5?	SELL	3.0¢	94.63	Mar 5

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing30

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.65

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)27.3%

Win Consistency61.7%

Profit Factor0.78

Drawdown Resilience0.63

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.63

Weekly Sharpe est.0.48

Trading Activity2,892 trades · 56 active days

P&L Calendar

+$3,03039d profit17d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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