nathaniel16

0x5f981d...61f801

Smart Score

Win Rate

90.5%

Total P&L

-$5

Trade Count

141

Sharpe Ratio

0.02

Sortino Ratio

0.04

Max Drawdown

11281.8%

ROI

-0.0%

Profit Factor

3.28

Kelly Fraction

0.629

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

025.9/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	0.4¢	116	Mar 5
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	99.1¢	109	Mar 5
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	99.1¢	109	Feb 27
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	0.4¢	82	Feb 27
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	0.4¢	83	Feb 24
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	98.7¢	88	Feb 24
Will Zohran Mamdani win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	99.0¢	88	Feb 17
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	0.4¢	54	Feb 17
Will Ivory Coast win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	0.5¢	335	Feb 14
Will Everton win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	SELL	0.1¢	141	Feb 14
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	99.0¢	116	Feb 14
Will Glenn Youngkin win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	99.1¢	116	Feb 13
Will Everton win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	SELL	0.1¢	157	Feb 11
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	99.0¢	114	Feb 11
Will Andrew Yang win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	99.1¢	114	Feb 10
Will Everton win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	SELL	0.1¢	172	Feb 10
Will Everton win the 2025–26 English Premier League?	BUY	0.2¢	470	Feb 8
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	98.9¢	112	Feb 8
Will Phil Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	99.0¢	112	Feb 1
Will Hunter Biden win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	99.1¢	112	Jan 31

Analytics

Unlock full analytics on Accrue

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing25.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.42

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)23.6%

Win Consistency15.0%

Profit Factor0.67

Drawdown Resilience0.54

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.54

Weekly Sharpe est.0.41

Trading Activity141 trades · 96 active days

P&L Calendar

$68343d profit53d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

Unlock Full Analytics