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neophyt

0x3da395...fc0fdc
Smart Score
29
Win Rate
15.0%
Total P&L
+$11.6K
Trade Count
974
Sharpe Ratio
0.70
Sortino Ratio
41.48
Max Drawdown
358.2%
ROI
1146.8%
Profit Factor
3.06
Kelly Fraction
0.101
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
029.2/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on March 4?BUY0.5¢156.55Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on March 4?BUY0.5¢12.43Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on March 4?BUY0.5¢29.45Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on March 4?BUY0.5¢1.568Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 48-49°F on March 4?BUY1.2¢100Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on March 4?BUY12.0¢2.7Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on March 4?BUY12.0¢10Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on March 4?BUY7.0¢20Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on March 4?BUY8.0¢20Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on March 4?BUY9.0¢1.73Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 26°C on March 4?BUY14.0¢12.5Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on March 4?BUY9.0¢18.265Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 78-79°F on March 4?BUY6.0¢2.024Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 3?BUY4.0¢50Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 33°C or higher on March 3?SELL1.1¢13.99Mar 2
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 33°C or higher on March 3?SELL1.1¢86.01Mar 2
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C or below on March 3?SELL1.6¢63.63Mar 2
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 2?SELL15.0¢20Mar 2
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 2?BUY4.0¢70Mar 2
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 2?BUY4.0¢100Mar 2

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%82%< 10%16%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing29.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.61
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)26.6%
Win Consistency44.3%
Profit Factor0.76
Drawdown Resilience0.61
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.61
Weekly Sharpe est.0.47
Trading Activity974 trades · 26 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$5032d profit23d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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