neverdrugsagain

0x9c3482...e8c484

Smart Score

Win Rate

24.7%

Total P&L

+$20

Trade Count

443

Sharpe Ratio

0.57

Sortino Ratio

2.26

Max Drawdown

58.5%

ROI

0.4%

Profit Factor

1.34

Kelly Fraction

0.063

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

038.9/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	41.4¢	105.71	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	6.7¢	78.16	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	23.5¢	150.9	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	23.0¢	78.16	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 180-199 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	23.9¢	150.897	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	23.5¢	55.319	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	24.1¢	101	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 120-139 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	2.3¢	217.39	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?	SELL	6.0¢	53.64	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?	SELL	10.0¢	150	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?	SELL	7.0¢	150	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?	SELL	6.0¢	85	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	SELL	6.0¢	53.49	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?	SELL	10.1¢	32.66	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	40.7¢	105.706	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	BUY	22.7¢	132.04	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?	SELL	40.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?	BUY	46.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	21.4¢	49	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?	SELL	33.9¢	122.77	Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing38.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.14

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)35.4%

Win Consistency43.2%

Profit Factor1.01

Drawdown Resilience0.82

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.82

Weekly Sharpe est.0.62

Trading Activity443 trades · 24 active days

P&L Calendar

+$211d profit13d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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