niaou

0x6a29eb...ac9ba3

Smart Score

Win Rate

42.1%

Total P&L

-$5

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.90

Sortino Ratio

-1.05

Max Drawdown

479.8%

ROI

-5.2%

Profit Factor

0.22

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

00/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	SELL	95.0¢	3.17	Mar 5
Will a hurricane make landfall in the US by May 31?	BUY	94.6¢	2.114	Mar 3
US x Iran ceasefire by June 30?	BUY	80.0¢	3.75	Mar 3
Ukraine recognizes Russian sovereignty over its territory by December 31, 2026?	BUY	88.0¢	3.409	Mar 1
Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31?	SELL	74.0¢	9.57	Mar 1
Starmer out by December 31, 2026?	BUY	67.0¢	3.269	Feb 28
SBF released from custody in 2026?	BUY	88.0¢	7.364	Feb 27
Will Israel strike 5 countries in 2026?	BUY	93.3¢	3.944	Feb 25
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?	SELL	99.5¢	4.96	Feb 24
Will Amy Madigan win Best Supporting Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?	BUY	83.9¢	8.105	Feb 23
Will 60 to 89 tornadoes occur in the United States in February 2026?	BUY	78.8¢	3.173	Feb 23
Will Trump meet with Delcy Rodríguez by March 31?	BUY	70.0¢	9.571	Feb 22
MicroStrategy sells any Bitcoin by June 30, 2026?	BUY	94.0¢	3.17	Feb 20
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	SELL	69.0¢	6.84	Feb 20
Will SpaceX's public ticker be $SPACE?	BUY	96.1¢	4.964	Feb 19
New "Stranger Things" episode released by December 31?	BUY	92.0¢	3.152	Feb 18
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	92.8¢	2.155	Feb 17
Will US unemployment reach at least 5.5% in 2026?	BUY	79.0¢	5.063	Feb 16
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?	SELL	92.9¢	6.2	Feb 15
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	BUY	66.0¢	6.848	Feb 14

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing0

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.00

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)0.0%

Win Consistency36.8%

Profit Factor0.00

Drawdown Resilience0.00

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.00

Weekly Sharpe est.0.00

Trading Activity25 trades · 23 active days

P&L Calendar

$475d profit18d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue