NideCupper

0x19d08e...0cfebd

Smart Score

Win Rate

95.1%

Total P&L

+$24

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-1.36

Sortino Ratio

-0.91

Max Drawdown

13251.0%

ROI

0.6%

Profit Factor

12.16

Kelly Fraction

0.873

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

030.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?	BUY	99.2¢	77.762	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 7°C or higher on March 6?	BUY	91.0¢	10.989	Mar 5
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 4?	SELL	93.3¢	40.12	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 4?	BUY	99.7¢	40.12	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 6°C on March 4?	BUY	97.0¢	49.701	Mar 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on March 3?	BUY	99.4¢	88.213	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 14°C on March 2?	BUY	99.0¢	87.687	Mar 1
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $58,000 on March 1?	BUY	98.3¢	36.809	Feb 28
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on February 28?	SELL	94.6¢	79.1	Feb 28
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on February 28?	SELL	95.1¢	11.96	Feb 28
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $60,000 on February 28?	BUY	99.5¢	91.065	Feb 27
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?	BUY	98.5¢	59.88	Feb 26
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $74,000 on February 26?	BUY	99.7¢	58.977	Feb 26
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 19°C or higher on February 27?	BUY	97.6¢	30.738	Feb 26
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from February 23 to February 25, 2026?	BUY	93.0¢	17.796	Feb 25
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 25?	SELL	94.0¢	52.16	Feb 25
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $68,000 on February 25?	BUY	98.0¢	52.163	Feb 25
US strikes Iran by February 24, 2026?	SELL	99.9¢	51.17	Feb 25
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 6°C or below on February 25?	BUY	99.0¢	38.525	Feb 24
Will the highest temperature in London be 13°C on February 24?	BUY	97.8¢	38.134	Feb 24

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing30.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.68

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)27.9%

Win Consistency61.0%

Profit Factor0.80

Drawdown Resilience0.64

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.64

Weekly Sharpe est.0.49

Trading Activity62 trades · 29 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,1153d profit19d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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