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nikkachu

nikkachu

0x7e3ba7...da5d31@fdwater
Smart Score
35
Win Rate
34.3%
Total P&L
+$37.3K
Trade Count
1,000
Sharpe Ratio
0.36
Sortino Ratio
1.57
Max Drawdown
932.2%
ROI
29.8%
Profit Factor
26.45
Kelly Fraction
0.330
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
035.4/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?SELL0.2¢7,857.86Feb 25
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?SELL0.1¢177,326.92Feb 25
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?BUY0.3¢33,813.54Feb 23
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?SELL9.0¢6,868.41Feb 23
Will Alphabet be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?BUY0.4¢109,787.42Feb 23
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?BUY0.9¢7,857.86Feb 23
Will James Fishback be the Republican nominee for Florida Governor?SELL9.5¢5,619.6Feb 23
Ethereum Up or Down - February 18, 1AM ETBUY6.0¢37Feb 18
Ethereum Up or Down - February 18, 1AM ETBUY6.0¢351Feb 18
Ethereum Up or Down - February 18, 1AM ETBUY6.0¢658Feb 18
Ethereum Up or Down - February 18, 1AM ETBUY6.0¢35Feb 18
Ethereum Up or Down - February 18, 1AM ETBUY6.0¢2.128Feb 18
Ethereum Up or Down - February 18, 1AM ETBUY6.0¢36.84Feb 18
Ethereum Up or Down - February 18, 1AM ETBUY6.0¢81Feb 18
Ethereum Up or Down - February 18, 1AM ETBUY6.0¢3.691Feb 18
Ethereum Up or Down - February 18, 1AM ETBUY6.0¢37Feb 18
Ethereum Up or Down - February 18, 1AM ETBUY6.0¢35Feb 18
Ethereum Up or Down - February 18, 1AM ETBUY6.0¢81Feb 18
Ethereum Up or Down - February 18, 1AM ETBUY6.0¢19.606Feb 18
Ethereum Up or Down - February 18, 1AM ETBUY6.0¢3.691Feb 18

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%58%< 10%29%10–20%9%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing35.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.95
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)32.2%
Win Consistency42.9%
Profit Factor0.92
Drawdown Resilience0.74
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.74
Weekly Sharpe est.0.57
Trading Activity1,000 trades · 28 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
+$29,34618d profit10d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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