nishiwodeweiyi

0x1c8712...052461

Smart Score

Win Rate

31.6%

Total P&L

+$6

Trade Count

251

Sharpe Ratio

0.75

Sortino Ratio

4.95

Max Drawdown

149.0%

ROI

0.4%

Profit Factor

3.30

Kelly Fraction

0.220

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

027.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	98.3¢	7.11	Mar 5
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	98.4¢	7.114	Mar 5
Will Netherlands win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	97.0¢	9.278	Mar 4
Will Donald Trump Jr. win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	99.0¢	9.1	Mar 4
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	99.5¢	7.02	Mar 4
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	99.4¢	8.04	Mar 4
Will Canada win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	99.6¢	7.028	Mar 4
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	98.8¢	7.07	Mar 4
Will Croatia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	98.9¢	7.078	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 3PM ET	BUY	99.0¢	6.061	Mar 4
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	SELL	98.8¢	6.06	Mar 4
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	BUY	98.9¢	6.067	Mar 4
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	91.4¢	9.83	Mar 4
Will Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	91.5¢	9.836	Mar 4
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?	SELL	96.5¢	9.29	Mar 4
Will Xander Schauffele win the 2026 Masters tournament?	BUY	96.8¢	9.298	Mar 4
Will Austria win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	99.4¢	8.048	Mar 4
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	SELL	91.5¢	7.64	Mar 4
Xi Jinping out before 2027?	BUY	91.6¢	7.642	Mar 4
Will Norway win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	96.7¢	9.28	Mar 4

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing27.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.52

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)25.1%

Win Consistency45.2%

Profit Factor0.72

Drawdown Resilience0.58

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.58

Weekly Sharpe est.0.44

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue