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0x43405b...0b64c4
Smart Score
18
Win Rate
60.0%
Total P&L
+$2.5K
Trade Count
299
Sharpe Ratio
-0.06
Sortino Ratio
-0.13
Max Drawdown
1002.0%
ROI
0.6%
Profit Factor
1.24
Kelly Fraction
0.115
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
017.8/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?BUY97.3¢100Mar 3
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?BUY97.3¢133Mar 3
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?BUY97.3¢302.99Mar 3
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?BUY97.3¢5,844.01Mar 3
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?BUY97.3¢20Mar 3
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?BUY97.2¢6,400Feb 26
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?BUY94.0¢6,600Feb 20
Will Benfica win the 2025–26 Champions League?SELL0.5¢999.99Feb 16
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?BUY93.0¢6,700Feb 16
Will Benfica win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY0.5¢313.67Feb 13
Will Benfica win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY0.5¢672.84Feb 13
Will Benfica win the 2025–26 Champions League?BUY0.5¢13.483Feb 13
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?BUY82.0¢7,500Feb 10
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?BUY80.0¢7,800Feb 5
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?BUY90.0¢6,900Feb 1
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?BUY91.0¢1,500Jan 29
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?SELL99.4¢100.2Jan 27
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?BUY80.0¢810.6Jan 24
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?BUY80.0¢431.3Jan 24
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?BUY80.0¢5Jan 24

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%9%< 10%10–20%20–30%15%30–50%23%50–70%5%70–80%23%80–90%23%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing17.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.98
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)16.2%
Win Consistency52.0%
Profit Factor0.46
Drawdown Resilience0.37
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.37
Weekly Sharpe est.0.28
Trading Activity282 trades · 45 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$55,3809d profit36d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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