noaaark

0x0574eb...05e49f

Smart Score

Win Rate

29.5%

Total P&L

-$94

Trade Count

378

Sharpe Ratio

-0.06

Sortino Ratio

-0.19

Max Drawdown

215.6%

ROI

-1.6%

Profit Factor

0.84

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

05.5/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 78-79°F on March 5?	BUY	33.0¢	15.152	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Dallas be between 76-77°F on March 5?	BUY	24.2¢	20.685	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 5?	BUY	23.0¢	52.174	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 42-43°F on March 5?	BUY	38.0¢	21.053	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 4?	SELL	74.6¢	14.11	Mar 4
Will Seattle have between 5 and 6 inches of precipitation in March?	BUY	8.9¢	55.953	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 4?	BUY	35.4¢	14.105	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 4?	SELL	55.4¢	17.64	Mar 4
Will Seattle have between 5 and 6 inches of precipitation in March?	BUY	9.0¢	166.859	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on March 4?	SELL	52.0¢	9.61	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on March 4?	SELL	13.7¢	42.98	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 84-85°F on March 4?	BUY	11.6¢	42.989	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Miami be between 82-83°F on March 4?	BUY	52.0¢	9.615	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 4?	BUY	17.0¢	17.647	Mar 4
Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in March?	BUY	22.0¢	16	Mar 3
Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in March?	BUY	22.0¢	21.93	Mar 3
Will NYC have between 3 and 4 inches of precipitation in March?	BUY	22.0¢	21.936	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 34-35°F on March 3?	SELL	36.0¢	96.85	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 34-35°F on March 3?	BUY	39.8¢	27.638	Mar 3
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 34-35°F on March 3?	BUY	37.3¢	26.786	Mar 3

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing5.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.30

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)5.0%

Win Consistency37.2%

Profit Factor0.14

Drawdown Resilience0.12

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.12

Weekly Sharpe est.0.09

Trading Activity378 trades · 19 active days

P&L Calendar

$2994d profit15d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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