Nobi-Nobita

0x24fe0b...f73419

Smart Score

Win Rate

18.8%

Total P&L

+$1.7K

Trade Count

844

Sharpe Ratio

2.60

Sortino Ratio

158.29

Max Drawdown

252.5%

ROI

77.3%

Profit Factor

3.06

Kelly Fraction

0.127

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

038.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 5?	SELL	19.0¢	6.2	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 5?	SELL	19.0¢	9.39	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 5?	SELL	18.0¢	12.7	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 5?	SELL	18.0¢	2.89	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 4?	BUY	4.0¢	50	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 5?	BUY	18.0¢	5.67	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 5?	BUY	16.0¢	12.69	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 44-45°F on March 5?	BUY	18.0¢	4.72	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 4?	BUY	13.0¢	0.18	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 4?	BUY	13.0¢	9.818	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on March 4?	BUY	16.0¢	9.83	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on March 4?	BUY	16.0¢	6.83	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on March 4?	BUY	22.0¢	6.66	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 4?	BUY	12.0¢	4.97	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on March 4?	BUY	22.0¢	6.66	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 4?	BUY	12.0¢	8.36	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on March 4?	BUY	21.0¢	7.23	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 52-53°F on March 4?	BUY	21.0¢	2.762	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Seattle be between 50-51°F on March 4?	BUY	37.0¢	10	Mar 4
Will César Dockweiler win the 2026 La Paz mayoral election?	BUY	5.0¢	20	Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing38.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.11

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)34.9%

Win Consistency54.0%

Profit Factor1.00

Drawdown Resilience0.81

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.81

Weekly Sharpe est.0.61

Trading Activity844 trades · 6 active days

P&L Calendar

$4472d profit4d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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