nobody84

0x884572...0906bc

Smart Score

Win Rate

25.0%

Total P&L

+$637

Trade Count

900

Sharpe Ratio

0.77

Sortino Ratio

6.72

Max Drawdown

122.4%

ROI

12.2%

Profit Factor

1.62

Kelly Fraction

0.096

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

026.8/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 12°C on March 5?	BUY	33.0¢	10	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on March 5?	BUY	36.0¢	9	Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on March 5?	BUY	5.0¢	35	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on March 4?	SELL	10.2¢	113.49	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on March 4?	SELL	35.0¢	36.39	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on March 4?	SELL	42.5¢	60.58	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on March 4?	BUY	36.0¢	20	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 27°C on March 4?	BUY	26.0¢	16.39	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on March 4?	BUY	39.0¢	5	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 4°C on March 5?	SELL	32.0¢	20	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 5°C or higher on March 5?	SELL	11.0¢	50	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 31°C on March 4?	BUY	0.3¢	44.43	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 28°C on March 4?	BUY	32.0¢	5.588	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on March 4?	BUY	3.3¢	21	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 30°C on March 4?	BUY	3.3¢	10	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on March 4?	BUY	15.0¢	35.64	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 4°C on March 5?	SELL	30.0¢	24.26	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 3°C on March 5?	BUY	40.0¢	18	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 3°C on March 5?	BUY	40.0¢	9	Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Sao Paulo be 29°C on March 4?	BUY	15.0¢	7.059	Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing26.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.47

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)24.4%

Win Consistency46.7%

Profit Factor0.70

Drawdown Resilience0.56

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.56

Weekly Sharpe est.0.43

Trading Activity900 trades · 37 active days

P&L Calendar

$8409d profit28d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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