nocuen

0x82a774...acd91a

Smart Score

Win Rate

88.9%

Total P&L

-$4

Trade Count

108

Sharpe Ratio

-0.27

Sortino Ratio

-0.21

Max Drawdown

1252.2%

ROI

-0.0%

Profit Factor

-92.55

Kelly Fraction

0.898

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

00/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the Reserve Bank of Australia decrease the target for the cash rate after the March Meeting?	BUY	99.8¢	5.01	Mar 5
Will the Bank of Canada announce a 25 bps decrease at the March meeting?	BUY	98.9¢	5.056	Mar 5
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after March 2026 meeting?	BUY	99.5¢	5.025	Mar 5
Will Renate Reinsve win Best Actress at the 98th Academy Awards?	BUY	99.6¢	5.02	Mar 5
Will Rick Devens win Survivor Season 50?	BUY	99.9¢	5.005	Mar 5
Will Netflix reach $455 in February?	BUY	99.9¢	5.005	Feb 18
Will Opendoor reach $10.25 in February?	BUY	99.7¢	5.015	Feb 18
Will Palantir reach $234 in February?	BUY	99.9¢	5.005	Feb 18
Will Saudi Aramco be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?	BUY	99.8¢	5.01	Feb 18
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?	SELL	98.0¢	5.03	Feb 18
Will Tesla (TSLA) finish week of February 9 above $365?	BUY	99.8¢	5.01	Feb 12
Will Microsoft (MSFT) finish week of February 9 above $330?	BUY	99.9¢	5.005	Feb 12
Will Microsoft be the largest company in the world by market cap on June 30?	BUY	98.9¢	5.056	Feb 12
Will NVIDIA be the third-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?	BUY	99.3¢	5.035	Feb 12
Will the Fed decide differently in the next three decisions (Dec–Jan–Mar)?	BUY	99.3¢	5.035	Feb 12
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) finish week of February 9 above $145?	BUY	99.9¢	5.005	Feb 12
Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?	SELL	98.6¢	5.05	Feb 5
Will Sanae Takaichi be the Prime Minister of Japan as a result of the 2026 snap election?	BUY	98.6¢	5.071	Feb 3
Will Éric Zemmour win the 2027 French presidential election?	BUY	98.9¢	5.056	Feb 3
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?	BUY	99.0¢	5.051	Feb 3

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing0

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.00

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)0.0%

Win Consistency56.3%

Profit Factor0.00

Drawdown Resilience0.00

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.00

Weekly Sharpe est.0.00

Trading Activity108 trades · 21 active days

P&L Calendar

$2862d profit19d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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