nofear
0x0c65d6...26cb59
Smart Score
38
Win Rate
50.0%
Total P&L
+$0
Trade Count
15
Sharpe Ratio
1.02
Sortino Ratio
0.00
Max Drawdown
5.5%
ROI
0.6%
Profit Factor
1.33
Kelly Fraction
0.124
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
037.8/100100
Recent Trades
| Market | Side | Price | Size | Time |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Will Ethereum reach $8,000 by December 31, 2026? | BUY | 94.0¢ | 17.7 | Mar 5 |
| Tether insolvent in 2025? | BUY | 98.5¢ | 16.629 | Oct 3 |
| Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31? | SELL | 93.2¢ | 16.66 | Oct 3 |
| Will Meta have the top AI model on January 31? | BUY | 0.2¢ | 145 | Jan 22 |
| Will Meta have the top AI model on January 31? | BUY | 0.2¢ | 32 | Jan 22 |
| Will Meta have the top AI model on January 31? | BUY | 0.2¢ | 13 | Jan 22 |
| Will Meta have the top AI model on January 31? | BUY | 0.2¢ | 30 | Jan 22 |
| Will Meta have the top AI model on January 31? | BUY | 0.2¢ | 38.7 | Jan 22 |
| Will Meta have the top AI model on January 31? | BUY | 0.2¢ | 10.3 | Jan 22 |
| Will Meta have the top AI model on January 31? | BUY | 0.2¢ | 40.47 | Jan 22 |
| Will Meta have the top AI model on January 31? | BUY | 0.2¢ | 10.53 | Jan 22 |
| Will Meta have the top AI model on January 31? | BUY | 0.2¢ | 43.33 | Jan 22 |
| Will Meta have the top AI model on January 31? | BUY | 0.2¢ | 10.11 | Jan 22 |
| Will Meta have the top AI model on January 31? | BUY | 0.2¢ | 126.56 | Jan 22 |
| Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31? | BUY | 86.0¢ | 16.66 | Jan 22 |
Analytics
Unlock full analytics on AccrueOdds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter
Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets
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Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing37.8
Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager
Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.08
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)34.4%
Win Consistency50.0%
Profit Factor0.98
Drawdown Resilience0.79
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.79
Weekly Sharpe est.0.60
Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue
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