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0x411d82...4631ed
Smart Score
19
Win Rate
38.3%
Total P&L
+$101
Trade Count
829
Sharpe Ratio
0.29
Sortino Ratio
2.78
Max Drawdown
603.8%
ROI
1.6%
Profit Factor
1.12
Kelly Fraction
0.043
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
018.7/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Internet Access restored in Iran by March 14, 2026?BUY6.0¢275.667Mar 5
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian oil or gas facility?SELL60.0¢24.22Mar 5
Internet Access restored in Iran by March 14, 2026?BUY16.0¢157Mar 4
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian oil or gas facility?SELL56.0¢48.45Mar 4
Internet Access restored in Iran by March 14, 2026?BUY19.0¢33.368Mar 4
Internet Access restored in Iran by March 14, 2026?BUY30.0¢100Mar 4
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?SELL16.0¢164.97Mar 4
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut on March 4, 2026?SELL99.9¢9.96Mar 4
Will Israel strike Greater Beirut on March 4, 2026?BUY96.4¢9.96Mar 3
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?BUY35.0¢81.38Mar 3
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?BUY35.0¢6.477Mar 3
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?BUY35.0¢39.369Mar 3
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?BUY35.0¢4.738Mar 3
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?BUY35.0¢11.323Mar 3
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?BUY35.0¢1.692Mar 3
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian oil or gas facility?SELL56.0¢93.09Mar 3
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?BUY25.0¢20Mar 3
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?SELL14.0¢20Mar 3
Will Israel's Ben Gurion Airport reopen by March 7?BUY15.0¢20Mar 3
Will Israel or the US target an Iranian oil or gas facility?BUY64.0¢40Mar 2

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%11%< 10%8%10–20%11%20–30%49%30–50%7%50–70%70–80%5%80–90%6%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing18.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.03
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)17.0%
Win Consistency53.3%
Profit Factor0.49
Drawdown Resilience0.39
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.39
Weekly Sharpe est.0.30
Trading Activity829 trades · 101 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$1,22833d profit68d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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