Normar

0x5df9da...55ea99@shainalake

Smart Score

Win Rate

61.5%

Total P&L

+$0

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.07

Sortino Ratio

-0.06

Max Drawdown

483.4%

ROI

0.0%

Profit Factor

1.00

Kelly Fraction

0.001

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

09.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
USD.AI FDV above $1B one day after launch?	BUY	99.4¢	13.078	Mar 5
Will Elise Stefanik win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	BUY	99.2¢	1,532.056	Mar 5
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	SELL	99.1¢	1,535.28	Mar 5
Will Claude 5 be released by February 28, 2026?	SELL	99.9¢	20.48	Feb 28
Will the Phoenix Suns win the 2026 NBA Finals?	BUY	99.2¢	1,535.282	Feb 28
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	99.1¢	1,513.18	Feb 28
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?	SELL	99.7¢	17.24	Feb 27
GPT-5.3 released by February 28, 2026?	BUY	85.0¢	24.706	Feb 26
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	99.2¢	1,513.185	Feb 26
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?	SELL	99.6¢	18.44	Feb 26
Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	SELL	98.9¢	1,496.2	Feb 26
Will Katie Britt win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	BUY	99.0¢	1,496.202	Feb 20
Will the next Dutch government be PVV + GL/PvdA + VVD + CDA?	BUY	99.7¢	32.096	Feb 20
Will Asia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	98.3¢	18.311	Feb 20
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	SELL	99.2¢	1,518.48	Feb 20
Will OpenAI have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?	BUY	98.6¢	17.241	Feb 20
Will the Toronto Maple Leafs win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	SELL	99.3¢	15.11	Feb 20
Will Norway win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?	SELL	99.7¢	26.98	Feb 20
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?	BUY	97.6¢	18.443	Feb 15
Will the Toronto Maple Leafs win the 2026 NHL Stanley Cup?	BUY	99.2¢	15.116	Feb 15

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing9.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.52

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)8.6%

Win Consistency66.7%

Profit Factor0.24

Drawdown Resilience0.20

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.20

Weekly Sharpe est.0.15

Trading Activity74 trades · 30 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,72810d profit19d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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