Nourn

0x672e20...bd5c03

Smart Score

Win Rate

62.2%

Total P&L

-$36

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.82

Sortino Ratio

-0.62

Max Drawdown

568.5%

ROI

-0.2%

Profit Factor

0.05

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

00/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	84.7¢	25.974	Mar 5
Will Tim Walz win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	99.2¢	1,640.857	Mar 5
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?	SELL	56.2¢	31.82	Mar 5
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	SELL	98.9¢	1,654.78	Mar 5
GPT-5.3 released by March 15, 2026?	BUY	94.0¢	19.149	Mar 3
US x Iran ceasefire by March 2?	BUY	98.5¢	40.609	Mar 1
Kevin Warsh confirmed as Fed Chair by May 1?	BUY	62.8¢	31.827	Mar 1
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	99.0¢	1,654.788	Mar 1
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?	SELL	99.9¢	17.97	Mar 1
Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	99.0¢	1,621.59	Mar 1
US strikes Iran by February 25, 2026?	BUY	98.8¢	26.316	Feb 25
Will MrBeast win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	99.1¢	1,621.594	Feb 25
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	SELL	99.4¢	1,629.26	Feb 25
Will Donald Trump post 120-139 Truth Social posts from February 13 to February 20, 2026?	BUY	83.5¢	8.862	Feb 20
Will the Fed increase interest rates by 25+ bps after the March 2026 meeting?	BUY	99.4¢	1,629.266	Feb 20
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	98.6¢	1,534.7	Feb 20
Will Seattle have between 7 and 8 inches of precipitation in February?	SELL	99.6¢	17.98	Feb 19
Will Seattle have between 7 and 8 inches of precipitation in February?	BUY	99.0¢	17.98	Feb 18
Will Apple be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?	BUY	89.0¢	17.978	Feb 18
Will Michelle Obama win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	98.9¢	1,534.702	Feb 15

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing0

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.00

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)0.0%

Win Consistency53.8%

Profit Factor0.00

Drawdown Resilience0.00

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.00

Weekly Sharpe est.0.00

Trading Activity63 trades · 27 active days

P&L Calendar

$2,0648d profit19d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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