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Nr.20

0x025b63...7a1793
Smart Score
21
Win Rate
22.4%
Total P&L
+$160
Trade Count
725
Sharpe Ratio
0.57
Sortino Ratio
33.69
Max Drawdown
1537.9%
ROI
3.1%
Profit Factor
1.14
Kelly Fraction
0.028
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
021.1/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on March 5?BUY20.0¢25Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on March 5?BUY21.0¢6Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on March 5?BUY17.0¢43.06Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 16°C on March 5?BUY17.0¢6.94Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on March 5?BUY23.0¢13.688Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on March 5?BUY40.0¢25Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on March 5?BUY23.0¢30Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on March 5?BUY40.0¢30Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on March 5?BUY40.0¢30Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on March 5?BUY23.0¢30Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on March 5?BUY23.0¢5Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on March 5?BUY40.0¢5Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on March 5?BUY23.0¢3.7Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 17°C on March 5?BUY40.0¢10Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 18°C on March 5?BUY23.0¢10Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 12°C or below on March 4?SELL99.6¢50Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on March 5?BUY25.0¢0.59Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on March 5?BUY25.0¢2Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on March 5?BUY25.0¢5Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C or higher on March 5?BUY10.0¢11.85Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%61%< 10%11%10–20%10%20–30%9%30–50%4%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing21.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.16
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)19.2%
Win Consistency28.6%
Profit Factor0.55
Drawdown Resilience0.44
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.44
Weekly Sharpe est.0.34
Trading Activity725 trades · 16 active days
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P&L Calendar
$4385d profit11d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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