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NTGRFDF

0x2f5f46...1ac3b4
Smart Score
22
Win Rate
82.3%
Total P&L
+$1
Trade Count
180
Sharpe Ratio
-0.35
Sortino Ratio
-0.34
Max Drawdown
783.4%
ROI
0.3%
Profit Factor
2.28
Kelly Fraction
0.461
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
022.4/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Clarity Act signed into law in 2026?BUY71.0¢1.408Mar 5
Will Ukraine re-enter Huliaipole by March 31?BUY95.3¢1.049Mar 5
Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31?SELL77.0¢1.23Feb 27
Will USD.AI launch a token by March 31?BUY81.0¢1.235Feb 27
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?SELL85.0¢2.27Feb 27
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY88.0¢1.136Feb 27
Will Variational launch a token by December 31, 2026?BUY88.0¢1.136Feb 27
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?SELL94.0¢1.06Feb 24
U.S. strike on Somalia by February 28?SELL80.2¢2.3Feb 24
Will NVIDIA (NVDA) beat quarterly earnings?BUY94.0¢1.064Feb 24
U.S. strike on Somalia by February 28?BUY86.9¢1.151Feb 24
U.S. strike on Somalia by February 28?BUY86.5¢1.156Feb 24
Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategySELL88.0¢1.12Feb 19
Will Rocket Lab (RKLB) beat quarterly earnings?SELL80.0¢1.17Feb 19
Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategyBUY89.0¢1.124Feb 19
Will Rocket Lab (RKLB) beat quarterly earnings?BUY85.0¢1.176Feb 19
Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategySELL83.0¢1.16Feb 18
U.S. strike on Somalia by February 21?SELL76.0¢1.29Feb 18
U.S. strike on Somalia by February 21?BUY77.0¢1.299Feb 18
Nothing Ever Happens: MicroStrategyBUY86.0¢1.163Feb 18

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%3%50–70%16%70–80%32%80–90%48%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing22.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.23
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)20.4%
Win Consistency46.8%
Profit Factor0.58
Drawdown Resilience0.47
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.47
Weekly Sharpe est.0.36
Trading Activity180 trades · 46 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$83d profit43d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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