ntynytn

0x8de739...c2c5be

Smart Score

Win Rate

78.9%

Total P&L

+$3.5K

Trade Count

244

Sharpe Ratio

0.83

Sortino Ratio

8.88

Max Drawdown

1078.1%

ROI

39.0%

Profit Factor

6.88

Kelly Fraction

0.675

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

050.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March?	BUY	2.1¢	60	Mar 4
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March?	BUY	98.0¢	60	Mar 4
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	BUY	1.2¢	110	Mar 4
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	BUY	98.9¢	110	Mar 4
GTA VI released before June 2026?	SELL	97.1¢	90	Mar 4
GTA VI released before June 2026?	BUY	97.5¢	90	Mar 4
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	BUY	3.8¢	110	Mar 4
Will Jesus Christ return before 2027?	BUY	96.3¢	110	Mar 4
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	1.2¢	110	Mar 4
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	98.9¢	110	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?	BUY	98.9¢	110	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?	BUY	1.2¢	110	Mar 4
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	98.4¢	110	Mar 4
Will Belgium win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	1.7¢	110	Mar 4
GTA VI released before June 2026?	BUY	98.1¢	80	Mar 4
GTA VI released before June 2026?	BUY	2.0¢	80	Mar 4
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?	BUY	50.1¢	70	Mar 4
Will US or Israel strike Iran first?	BUY	50.0¢	70	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	56.4¢	10	Mar 4
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	43.7¢	10	Mar 4

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing50.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.78

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)46.1%

Win Consistency44.0%

Profit Factor1.32

Drawdown Resilience1.06

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.06

Weekly Sharpe est.0.81

Trading Activity244 trades · 11 active days

P&L Calendar

$7,6430d profit11d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue