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ntyvcwe

0x024edc...cdd69e
Smart Score
50
Win Rate
64.9%
Total P&L
-$477
Trade Count
286
Sharpe Ratio
1.84
Sortino Ratio
14.18
Max Drawdown
9758.4%
ROI
-5.1%
Profit Factor
4.87
Kelly Fraction
0.515
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
050.1/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY85.3¢30Mar 5
Will the Iranian regime fall by March 31?BUY14.8¢30Mar 5
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in March?BUY99.0¢130Mar 5
Will Bitcoin reach $110,000 in March?BUY1.1¢130Mar 5
Will Jordan Spieth win the 2026 Masters tournament?BUY1.5¢100Mar 5
Will Jordan Spieth win the 2026 Masters tournament?BUY98.6¢100Mar 5
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY96.6¢70Mar 5
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY3.5¢70Mar 5
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?BUY98.8¢110Mar 5
Will there be no change in Fed interest rates after the March 2026 meeting?BUY1.3¢110Mar 5
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY1.5¢110Mar 5
Will Elon Musk win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY98.6¢110Mar 5
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY96.6¢30Mar 5
Will Pete Buttigieg win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY3.5¢30Mar 5
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March?SELL97.7¢100Mar 5
Will Bitcoin reach $100,000 in March?BUY98.1¢100Mar 5
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY1.2¢130Mar 4
Will Rahm Emanuel win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY98.9¢130Mar 4
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?BUY98.9¢90Mar 4
Will Luka Doncic win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?BUY1.2¢90Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%42%< 10%4%10–20%20–30%3%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%40%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing50.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.76
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)45.6%
Win Consistency40.6%
Profit Factor1.30
Drawdown Resilience1.05
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.05
Weekly Sharpe est.0.80
Trading Activity286 trades · 10 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$7,4490d profit10d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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