0x99d83a...dfc902

Smart Score

Win Rate

54.2%

Total P&L

-$31

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.15

Sortino Ratio

-0.24

Max Drawdown

738.8%

ROI

-1.5%

Profit Factor

0.47

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

00/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
USD.AI FDV above $150M one day after launch?	BUY	91.0¢	10.989	Mar 5
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by March 31, 2026?	BUY	97.3¢	10.277	Mar 5
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	87.9¢	11.382	Mar 5
Will Alireza Arafi be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	88.9¢	11.249	Mar 5
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	BUY	89.0¢	11.236	Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down on March 5?	BUY	62.0¢	17.742	Mar 5
Will the Bank of Mexico announce a decrease at the March meeting?	BUY	23.4¢	8.542	Mar 2
Bank of Japan decreases interest rates after March 2026 meeting?	BUY	0.7¢	142.857	Mar 2
Katana FDV above $100M one day after launch?	BUY	13.2¢	75.707	Mar 2
Will Max Verstappen be the 2026 F1 Drivers' Champion?	BUY	80.0¢	12.5	Mar 2
Opinion FDV above $500M one day after launch?	BUY	43.3¢	23.076	Mar 2
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase March 3-9?	BUY	14.2¢	7.021	Mar 2
Will Microstrategy announce a Bitcoin purchase February 24-March 2?	BUY	0.9¢	1,110.07	Mar 2
Will OpenSea launch a token by September 30, 2026?	BUY	78.3¢	255.316	Mar 2
Opensea FDV above $5B one day after launch?	BUY	94.1¢	69.656	Jan 15
Opensea FDV above $500M one day after launch?	BUY	88.6¢	139.955	Jan 15
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	SELL	95.8¢	191.57	Jan 15
Will China unban Bitcoin by 2027?	BUY	96.8¢	191.57	Jan 6
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2025?	BUY	99.1¢	185.439	Dec 4
Will Bitcoin reach $200,000 in November?	BUY	99.6¢	183.765	Nov 1

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing0

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.00

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)0.0%

Win Consistency46.9%

Profit Factor0.00

Drawdown Resilience0.00

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.00

Weekly Sharpe est.0.00

Trading Activity75 trades · 12 active days

P&L Calendar

$1,1631d profit11d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue