oalsuwat

0x8076d5...77fcbf

Smart Score

Win Rate

62.1%

Total P&L

+$19

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

2.42

Sortino Ratio

209.53

Max Drawdown

813.1%

ROI

1.1%

Profit Factor

1.61

Kelly Fraction

0.236

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

040.6/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	80.1¢	173.858	Mar 5
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	BUY	67.0¢	522.388	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	SELL	66.0¢	75.76	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	SELL	87.0¢	125	Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	SELL	81.0¢	61.73	Mar 4
QatarEnergy resumes LNG production by March 14?	SELL	23.9¢	19.23	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	BUY	55.9¢	8.943	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	SELL	61.0¢	8.5	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 5:15PM-5:20PM ET	BUY	57.9¢	8.636	Mar 4
War Powers resolution passes the Senate?	SELL	93.5¢	61.65	Mar 4
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?	SELL	15.0¢	52.25	Mar 4
War Powers resolution passes the Senate?	BUY	89.3¢	61.654	Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	81.0¢	61.728	Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	SELL	80.0¢	1.31	Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	76.0¢	1.316	Mar 4
QatarEnergy resumes LNG production by March 14?	BUY	52.0¢	19.231	Mar 4
QatarEnergy resumes LNG production by March 14?	SELL	52.0¢	1.96	Mar 4
QatarEnergy resumes LNG production by March 14?	BUY	51.0¢	1.961	Mar 4
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?	BUY	25.0¢	4	Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 8:05AM-8:10AM ET	BUY	8.0¢	12.5	Mar 4

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing40.6

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.23

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)37.0%

Win Consistency39.4%

Profit Factor1.06

Drawdown Resilience0.85

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.85

Weekly Sharpe est.0.65

Trading Activity91 trades · 6 active days

P&L Calendar

$4741d profit5d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue