offilm

0x15d41b...ef6ddd

Smart Score

Win Rate

59.5%

Total P&L

+$10.5K

Trade Count

4,000

Sharpe Ratio

0.06

Sortino Ratio

0.12

Max Drawdown

271.0%

ROI

8.4%

Profit Factor

1.31

Kelly Fraction

0.142

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

016.9/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?	SELL	80.8¢	6	Mar 5
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?	SELL	20.8¢	6	Mar 5
Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?	SELL	81.0¢	6	Mar 5
Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?	BUY	7.7¢	20	Mar 5
Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?	BUY	90.0¢	20	Mar 5
Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?	BUY	8.9¢	18	Mar 5
Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?	BUY	90.0¢	18	Mar 5
Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?	BUY	90.0¢	14	Mar 5
Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?	BUY	8.9¢	14	Mar 5
Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?	BUY	7.8¢	17	Mar 5
Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?	BUY	90.0¢	17	Mar 5
Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?	BUY	90.0¢	14	Mar 5
Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?	BUY	8.9¢	14	Mar 5
Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?	BUY	7.4¢	13	Mar 5
Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?	BUY	90.0¢	13	Mar 5
Will Claude by Anthropic be #2 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?	BUY	90.0¢	14	Mar 5
Will Claude by Anthropic be #1 Free App in the US Apple App Store on March 6?	BUY	9.1¢	14	Mar 5
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?	SELL	20.4¢	6	Mar 5
Will CDU win the second most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?	SELL	81.0¢	6	Mar 5
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?	SELL	20.4¢	6	Mar 5

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing16.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.93

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)15.4%

Win Consistency50.6%

Profit Factor0.44

Drawdown Resilience0.35

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.35

Weekly Sharpe est.0.27

Trading Activity4,000 trades · 45 active days

P&L Calendar

$73,33510d profit35d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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