Ofir12

0x8b33fe...113134

Smart Score

Win Rate

43.8%

Total P&L

+$6

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-6.57

Sortino Ratio

-5.77

Max Drawdown

328.2%

ROI

1.4%

Profit Factor

1.90

Kelly Fraction

0.207

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

05.2/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will OpenAI not IPO by December 31, 2026?	BUY	59.0¢	15.254	Mar 5
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	SELL	63.0¢	15	Mar 5
Will One Battle After Another win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?	BUY	74.0¢	13.514	Mar 4
Will Reza Pahlavi enter Iran by December 31?	SELL	34.0¢	20	Mar 4
U.S. evacuates Beirut Embassy by March 31?	BUY	73.0¢	27.397	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 4?	SELL	52.0¢	15	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $72,000 on March 4?	BUY	35.0¢	15	Mar 4
Will Benjamin Netanyahu be the next Prime Minister of Israel?	BUY	62.0¢	40	Mar 4
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	SELL	75.0¢	15	Mar 4
Will Butterfly win Best Animated Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?	BUY	48.0¢	20	Mar 3
Will Butterfly win Best Animated Short Film at the 98th Academy Awards?	BUY	48.0¢	20	Mar 3
Will One Battle After Another win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?	SELL	72.0¢	20	Mar 3
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	SELL	82.1¢	40	Mar 3
Will Graham Platner be the Democratic nominee for Senate in Maine?	SELL	74.0¢	5	Mar 3
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	34.7¢	20	Mar 3
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?	BUY	34.4¢	20	Mar 3
Will One Battle After Another win Best Film Editing at the 98th Academy Awards?	BUY	76.0¢	20	Mar 3
Billionaire one-time wealth tax passes in California election 2026?	SELL	31.0¢	28.57	Mar 3
Will Israel launch a major ground offensive in Lebanon by March 31?	BUY	83.0¢	15	Mar 3
Will France, UK, or Germany strike Iran by June 30?	BUY	69.0¢	15	Mar 3

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing5.2

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.29

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)4.7%

Win Consistency35.3%

Profit Factor0.14

Drawdown Resilience0.11

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.11

Weekly Sharpe est.0.08

Trading Activity32 trades · 5 active days

P&L Calendar

$942d profit3d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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