OliviaMitchell

0x4d388b...e7d124@mqjma55884837

Smart Score

Win Rate

95.7%

Total P&L

+$7

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.05

Sortino Ratio

-0.02

Max Drawdown

70.3%

ROI

0.4%

Profit Factor

3.18

Kelly Fraction

0.656

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

051.5/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $66,000 on March 5?	BUY	99.3¢	31.218	Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from February 20 to February 27, 2026?	BUY	98.6¢	30.426	Feb 26
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from February 9 to February 11, 2026?	BUY	99.3¢	30.211	Feb 11
Will Elon Musk post 165-189 tweets from February 2 to February 4, 2026?	BUY	98.6¢	30.426	Feb 3
Will Bitcoin dip to $45,000 in January?	BUY	99.9¢	30	Jan 30
Will Elon Musk post 240+ tweets from January 12 to January 14, 2026?	BUY	99.2¢	29.225	Jan 13
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets from January 2 to January 9, 2026?	BUY	99.8¢	29.058	Jan 6
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from December 23 to December 30, 2025?	BUY	98.9¢	24.267	Dec 26
Will Elon Musk post 320-339 tweets from December 12 to December 19, 2025?	BUY	99.3¢	23.283	Dec 17
Will Ethereum hit $10,000 by December 31?	BUY	99.7¢	2.006	Dec 17
Will Tencent have the top AI model on December 31?	BUY	99.9¢	2.002	Dec 17
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $92,000 on December 17?	BUY	99.9¢	1.001	Dec 17
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from December 9 to December 16, 2025?	BUY	99.5¢	28.121	Dec 13
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from November 25 to December 2, 2025?	BUY	98.2¢	18.656	Nov 30
Will the highest temperature in New York City be between 47-48°F on November 30?	BUY	78.0¢	1.282	Nov 30
Will Solana dip to $100 in November?	BUY	99.9¢	2.002	Nov 30
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?	BUY	99.9¢	21.321	Nov 22
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by November 30?	BUY	97.0¢	1.031	Nov 22
Will Ethereum reach $5,600 in November?	BUY	99.8¢	3.006	Nov 22
Tesla launches unsupervised full self driving (FSD) by December 31?	BUY	89.0¢	1.124	Nov 22

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing51.5

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.83

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)46.9%

Win Consistency78.3%

Profit Factor1.34

Drawdown Resilience1.08

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.08

Weekly Sharpe est.0.82

Trading Activity48 trades · 23 active days

P&L Calendar

$7430d profit23d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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