OnlyHope

0x1af373...211d1e

Smart Score

Win Rate

50.9%

Total P&L

+$6.7K

Trade Count

2,231

Sharpe Ratio

0.47

Sortino Ratio

15.63

Max Drawdown

2125.3%

ROI

2.5%

Profit Factor

1.53

Kelly Fraction

0.177

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

032/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	59.9¢	454.09	Mar 5
US announces military support of Kurds in Iran by March 31?	SELL	36.0¢	755.16	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	69.6¢	641.657	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	SELL	41.7¢	1,067	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	51.0¢	285.17	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	51.0¢	4.082	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	51.0¢	0.74	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	48.0¢	287.06	Mar 4
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?	SELL	82.0¢	350.07	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	39.8¢	246.207	Mar 4
Will a Gulf State strike Iran by March 7?	SELL	84.0¢	116.69	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 7?	BUY	47.6¢	243.747	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	SELL	45.0¢	117.18	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	SELL	45.0¢	0.1	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	SELL	45.0¢	0.12	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	SELL	45.0¢	1.24	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	SELL	45.0¢	0.18	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	SELL	45.0¢	0.94	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	SELL	45.0¢	0.1	Mar 4
US forces enter Iran by March 14?	SELL	45.0¢	6.12	Mar 4

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing32

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.76

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)29.1%

Win Consistency57.2%

Profit Factor0.83

Drawdown Resilience0.67

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.67

Weekly Sharpe est.0.51

Trading Activity2,231 trades · 62 active days

P&L Calendar

$10,80923d profit38d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue