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0x402f04...de19a4
Smart Score
39
Win Rate
17.4%
Total P&L
-$172
Trade Count
684
Sharpe Ratio
0.79
Sortino Ratio
16.19
Max Drawdown
72.4%
ROI
-12.0%
Profit Factor
0.77
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
Smart Score
038.8/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 24°C or below on March 7?BUY6.0¢13.62Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 44-45°F on March 5?BUY29.0¢3.45Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Wellington be 18°C on March 7?BUY10.0¢10Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 12°C on March 7?BUY8.0¢6.39Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 11°C on March 7?BUY3.9¢25Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Miami be 75°F or below on March 7?BUY1.3¢50Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Buenos Aires be 25°C or higher on March 6?BUY47.0¢2.09Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 42-43°F on March 5?BUY18.0¢2.34Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Chicago be between 42-43°F on March 5?BUY18.0¢3.22Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 9°C on March 6?BUY18.0¢5.56Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Toronto be 3°C on March 6?BUY22.0¢4.55Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 4°C on March 6?BUY15.0¢1.27Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 10°C on March 6?BUY32.0¢3.13Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in London be 15°C on March 6?BUY17.0¢5.89Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 11°C on March 6?BUY27.0¢3.58Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 20°C on March 6?BUY20.0¢5Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Seoul be 10°C on March 5?SELL99.2¢6.25Mar 5
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 21°C or higher on March 6?BUY10.0¢10Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Paris be 18°C on March 6?BUY19.0¢5Mar 4
Will the highest temperature in Ankara be 8°C on March 6?BUY6.0¢10.67Mar 4
Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%41%< 10%28%10–20%14%20–30%16%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing38.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.13
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)35.3%
Win Consistency30.3%
Profit Factor1.01
Drawdown Resilience0.81
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.81
Weekly Sharpe est.0.62
Trading Activity684 trades · 8 active days
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P&L Calendar
$3582d profit6d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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