oopop

0x5daf49...f0d347

Smart Score

Win Rate

56.3%

Total P&L

-$20

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.53

Sortino Ratio

-0.46

Max Drawdown

0.0%

ROI

-2.2%

Profit Factor

0.83

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

035.3/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will there be at least 10000 measles cases in the U.S. in 2026?	BUY	80.0¢	6.25	Mar 5
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?	BUY	84.2¢	20	Feb 28
Will Bitcoin dip to $60,000 in February?	BUY	84.2¢	50	Feb 28
US strikes Iran by February 28, 2026?	BUY	89.0¢	50	Feb 25
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	SELL	91.7¢	120	Feb 22
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	BUY	91.6¢	20	Feb 22
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	BUY	91.6¢	100	Feb 22
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	SELL	91.9¢	110	Feb 3
Will Satoshi move any Bitcoin in 2026?	BUY	91.9¢	110	Feb 3
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?	SELL	21.0¢	139.99	Feb 2
Base FDV above $8B one day after launch?	SELL	55.0¢	29.99	Jan 22
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?	BUY	56.0¢	5.6	Jan 13
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?	BUY	56.0¢	62	Jan 13
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?	BUY	56.0¢	5	Jan 13
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?	BUY	56.0¢	5	Jan 13
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?	BUY	56.0¢	1.96	Jan 13
MegaETH market cap (FDV) >$2B one day after launch?	BUY	56.0¢	10.439	Jan 13
US strikes Iran by January 13, 2026?	BUY	4.0¢	60	Jan 13
Based FDV above $500M one day after launch?	SELL	88.0¢	10	Jan 13
Base FDV above $8B one day after launch?	BUY	52.0¢	13.85	Jan 11

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing35.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.94

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)32.1%

Win Consistency46.2%

Profit Factor0.92

Drawdown Resilience0.74

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.74

Weekly Sharpe est.0.56

Trading Activity32 trades · 15 active days

P&L Calendar

$1835d profit9d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue