opgnw

0x686495...6712c8

Smart Score

Win Rate

38.8%

Total P&L

+$3

Trade Count

287

Sharpe Ratio

0.35

Sortino Ratio

1.63

Max Drawdown

117.8%

ROI

0.2%

Profit Factor

1.24

Kelly Fraction

0.076

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

010.8/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	SELL	97.5¢	8.2	Mar 5
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	97.6¢	8.197	Mar 5
Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	SELL	99.8¢	10.01	Mar 4
Will Pete Hegseth be the leader of Venezuela end of 2026?	BUY	99.9¢	10.01	Mar 4
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	SELL	84.0¢	3.53	Mar 4
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	SELL	84.0¢	7.174	Mar 4
Will the US acquire part of Greenland in 2026?	BUY	84.0¢	10.714	Mar 4
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	SELL	98.3¢	10.16	Mar 4
Will Gretchen Whitmer win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	98.4¢	10.163	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	SELL	51.0¢	9.8	Mar 4
Will the Iranian regime fall before 2027?	BUY	51.0¢	9.804	Mar 4
Will Portugal win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	93.0¢	7.527	Mar 4
Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?	SELL	99.0¢	6.05	Mar 4
Will the Miami Heat win the 2026 NBA Finals?	BUY	99.1¢	6.054	Mar 4
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	SELL	98.8¢	9.1	Mar 4
Will the next Prime Minister of Hungary be István Kapitány?	SELL	99.4¢	6.02	Mar 4
Will Tulsi Gabbard win the 2028 Republican presidential nomination?	BUY	98.9¢	9.1	Mar 4
Will Chris Murphy win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?	BUY	99.0¢	5.051	Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	SELL	75.0¢	13.33	Mar 4
Will Iran close the Strait of Hormuz by March 31?	BUY	75.0¢	13.333	Mar 4

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing10.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.59

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)9.8%

Win Consistency41.8%

Profit Factor0.28

Drawdown Resilience0.23

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.23

Weekly Sharpe est.0.17

Trading Activity287 trades · 36 active days

P&L Calendar

$12810d profit26d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue