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orange0001

0x6cb5d1...bdb230@jiangdichun
Smart Score
9
Win Rate
65.5%
Total P&L
-$270
Trade Count
417
Sharpe Ratio
0.16
Sortino Ratio
15.90
Max Drawdown
13006.0%
ROI
-7.8%
Profit Factor
0.37
Kelly Fraction
0.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
09.4/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will the highest temperature in London be 19°C on March 5?BUY91.0¢2.604Mar 5
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 5, 4:35AM-4:40AM ETBUY98.0¢2.378Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?BUY90.0¢1.111Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?BUY96.0¢5Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY77.8¢1.285Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 220-239 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY97.8¢5Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?BUY91.1¢6Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 115-139 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?BUY96.5¢2.207Mar 4
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 5?BUY54.0¢2.981Mar 3
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 4?BUY61.0¢1.639Mar 3
Will Iran name a successor to Khamenei by March 3?BUY93.7¢2.134Mar 3
Will Mojtaba Khamenei be the next Supreme Leader of Iran?BUY70.0¢1.429Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 90-114 tweets from March 5 to March 7, 2026?BUY91.0¢5Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 65-89 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?BUY98.3¢3.052Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 40-64 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?BUY79.0¢2.532Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?BUY77.0¢3.896Mar 3
Will MrBeast's million-dollar puzzle be solved by March 15?BUY9.0¢15.889Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post <40 tweets from March 2 to March 4, 2026?SELL22.9¢6.22Mar 3
Will Donald Trump post 200+ Truth Social posts from February 24 to March 3, 2026?BUY97.2¢2.078Mar 2
Will Elon Musk post 240-259 tweets from February 24 to March 3, 2026?BUY96.1¢8Mar 2

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%9%< 10%10–20%20–30%6%30–50%13%50–70%11%70–80%16%80–90%39%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing9.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.52
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)8.6%
Win Consistency41.2%
Profit Factor0.24
Drawdown Resilience0.20
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.20
Weekly Sharpe est.0.15
Trading Activity399 trades · 74 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$1,3543d profit70d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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