orcyun32

0x630378...da7be9

Smart Score

Win Rate

60.5%

Total P&L

-$16

Trade Count

Sharpe Ratio

-0.07

Sortino Ratio

-0.11

Max Drawdown

243.4%

ROI

-0.9%

Profit Factor

0.95

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

09.1/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Tô Lâm be the next President of Vietnam?	BUY	91.0¢	10.989	Mar 5
Will NVIDIA be the largest company in the world by market cap on March 31?	SELL	95.0¢	96.56	Mar 5
Will Dick Schoof be the next leader out before 2027?	SELL	94.0¢	10.16	Feb 18
Will Trump nominate Kevin Warsh as the next Fed chair?	SELL	95.0¢	46.51	Feb 8
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $84,000 and $86,000 on January 31?	BUY	56.0¢	17.857	Jan 30
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?	SELL	93.0¢	27.02	Jan 27
Seahawks vs. Patriots	BUY	33.0¢	15.152	Jan 26
Seahawks vs. Patriots	BUY	68.0¢	14.706	Jan 26
Ethereum Up or Down on January 26?	BUY	78.0¢	12.821	Jan 25
Bitcoin Up or Down on January 26?	BUY	79.0¢	25.316	Jan 25
Israel strikes Iran by January 31, 2026?	BUY	74.0¢	27.027	Jan 23
First to 5k: Gold or ETH?	SELL	98.8¢	125	Jan 23
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $88,000 and $90,000 on January 24?	BUY	71.0¢	28.169	Jan 23
Will António José Seguro win the 2026 Portugal presidential election?	SELL	96.7¢	146.03	Jan 22
Will the price of Bitcoin be between $90,000 and $92,000 on January 22?	BUY	48.0¢	41.667	Jan 21
Russia x Ukraine ceasefire by January 31, 2026?	BUY	98.4¢	20.325	Jan 21
Will the price of Ethereum be above $3,000 on January 22?	BUY	70.0¢	14.286	Jan 21
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $90,000 on January 22?	BUY	60.0¢	16.667	Jan 21
Will Alphabet be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on January 31?	BUY	94.8¢	10.549	Jan 21
No change in Fed interest rates after January 2026 meeting?	BUY	97.6¢	10.246	Jan 21

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing9.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.50

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)8.3%

Win Consistency54.5%

Profit Factor0.24

Drawdown Resilience0.19

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.19

Weekly Sharpe est.0.15

Trading Activity64 trades · 19 active days

P&L Calendar

$9106d profit13d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue