Oswaldo1

0x713d67...55f636@OPellowski5880

Smart Score

Win Rate

82.1%

Total P&L

+$373

Trade Count

102

Sharpe Ratio

-0.58

Sortino Ratio

-0.45

Max Drawdown

104200.0%

ROI

8.3%

Profit Factor

2.05

Kelly Fraction

0.422

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

018.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?	BUY	99.6¢	5	Nov 21
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?	BUY	99.8¢	5	Nov 21
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?	BUY	99.9¢	5	Nov 21
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?	BUY	99.9¢	5	Nov 21
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?	BUY	99.9¢	5	Nov 21
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?	BUY	99.9¢	5	Nov 21
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?	BUY	99.9¢	5	Nov 21
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from November 18 to November 25, 2025?	BUY	99.9¢	5	Nov 21
Will Elon Musk post 360-379 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?	BUY	99.0¢	5	Nov 21
Will Elon Musk post 380-399 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?	BUY	99.4¢	5	Nov 21
Will Elon Musk post 400-419 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?	BUY	99.7¢	5	Nov 21
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?	BUY	99.6¢	5	Nov 21
Will Elon Musk post 440-459 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?	BUY	99.7¢	5	Nov 21
Will Elon Musk post 460-479 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?	BUY	99.7¢	5	Nov 21
Will Elon Musk post 480-499 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?	BUY	99.7¢	5	Nov 21
Will Elon Musk post 500+ tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?	BUY	99.7¢	5	Nov 21
Will Elon Musk post 0-19 tweets from November 21 to November 28, 2025?	BUY	99.9¢	5	Nov 21
Will the highest temperature in London be between 60-61°F on November 3?	BUY	50.0¢	842	Nov 2
Will Elon Musk's net worth be at least $500b on October 31?	BUY	44.0¢	546	Oct 30
Will Powell say "Feedback" during October press conference?	SELL	45.0¢	670.2	Oct 26

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing18.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.01

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)16.7%

Win Consistency39.2%

Profit Factor0.48

Drawdown Resilience0.39

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.39

Weekly Sharpe est.0.29

Trading Activity23 trades · 6 active days

P&L Calendar

$4951d profit5d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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