0xaa5067...6bba05

Smart Score

Win Rate

71.2%

Total P&L

+$1.1K

Trade Count

187

Sharpe Ratio

-0.25

Sortino Ratio

-0.24

Max Drawdown

193.4%

ROI

5.7%

Profit Factor

2.02

Kelly Fraction

0.360

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

021.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
US-Iran nuclear deal by March 31?	BUY	89.0¢	112.36	Mar 5
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	BUY	75.0¢	33.333	Mar 5
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	BUY	90.0¢	166.667	Mar 5
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	BUY	75.0¢	133.333	Mar 5
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	BUY	90.0¢	888.889	Mar 5
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	SELL	88.9¢	675.84	Mar 5
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?	SELL	99.1¢	636.25	Mar 5
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	BUY	64.0¢	78.125	Mar 4
Will Crude Oil (CL) hit (HIGH) $80 by end of March?	BUY	71.2¢	35.102	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	BUY	82.0¢	121.951	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	BUY	82.0¢	85.366	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 31?	BUY	64.0¢	78.125	Mar 4
North Korea missile launch by March 15?	SELL	63.1¢	87.27	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 6?	SELL	97.5¢	285.84	Mar 4
US x Iran ceasefire by March 15?	BUY	82.0¢	206.78	Mar 4
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?	BUY	71.6¢	27.933	Mar 3
Will CDU win the most seats in the 2026 Baden-Württemberg parliamentary elections?	BUY	71.6¢	139.69	Mar 3
North Korea missile launch by March 15?	BUY	55.0¢	181.818	Mar 3
Ukraine election called by March 31, 2026?	BUY	97.4¢	307.897	Mar 3
NATO x Russia military clash by March 31, 2026?	BUY	95.8¢	125.261	Mar 3

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing21.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.18

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)19.5%

Win Consistency67.1%

Profit Factor0.56

Drawdown Resilience0.45

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.45

Weekly Sharpe est.0.34

Trading Activity134 trades · 18 active days

P&L Calendar

$8,2215d profit13d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue