PabloEstancia

0x3df95c...fb71d8

Smart Score

Win Rate

55.6%

Total P&L

+$1.0K

Trade Count

903

Sharpe Ratio

1.73

Sortino Ratio

1246.36

Max Drawdown

0.1%

ROI

207.1%

Profit Factor

24.68

Kelly Fraction

0.534

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

085.7/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Elon Musk post 280-299 tweets in March 2026?	SELL	0.3¢	10.01	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets in March 2026?	SELL	0.4¢	15.32	Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets in March 2026?	SELL	0.4¢	1	Mar 3
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets in March 2026?	SELL	0.3¢	781.64	Feb 17
Will Elon Musk post 520-539 tweets in March 2026?	SELL	0.4¢	11.73	Feb 17
Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?	SELL	0.1¢	59.64	Feb 15
Will Elon Musk post 300-319 tweets in March 2026?	SELL	0.3¢	1,218.357	Feb 15
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets in March 2026?	SELL	0.3¢	74.09	Feb 15
Will Elon Musk post 80-99 tweets in March 2026?	SELL	0.3¢	262.317	Feb 15
Will Elon Musk post 260-279 tweets in March 2026?	SELL	0.2¢	1,674.35	Feb 15
Will Elon Musk post 200-219 tweets in March 2026?	SELL	0.2¢	827.01	Feb 15
Will Amazon be the second-largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?	SELL	0.1¢	940.24	Feb 14
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets in March 2026?	SELL	0.3¢	93.943	Feb 13
Will Tesla be the largest company in the world by market cap on February 28?	SELL	0.1¢	1,000	Feb 12
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $78,000 on February 12?	SELL	0.1¢	100	Feb 12
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $78,000 on February 12?	SELL	0.1¢	22.52	Feb 12
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $78,000 on February 12?	SELL	0.1¢	20	Feb 12
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $78,000 on February 12?	SELL	0.1¢	8	Feb 12
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $78,000 on February 12?	SELL	0.1¢	10	Feb 12
Will the price of Bitcoin be greater than $78,000 on February 12?	SELL	0.1¢	20	Feb 12

Analytics Showcase

Full analytics →

Odds DistributionContrarian / Long-Shot Hunter

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Pro85.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)4.71

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)78.0%

Win Consistency71.0%

Profit Factor2.23

Drawdown Resilience1.80

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.80

Weekly Sharpe est.1.37

Trading Activity903 trades · 9 active days

P&L Calendar

$1227d profit1d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Showcase profile — live & interactive · 52-week window

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