Paeniscus.

0x111eba...ef3753

Smart Score

Win Rate

66.7%

Total P&L

+$4.3K

Trade Count

306

Sharpe Ratio

0.50

Sortino Ratio

0.36

Max Drawdown

32.1%

ROI

2.5%

Profit Factor

2.17

Kelly Fraction

0.360

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

049.9/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will the Republican Party win the CA-20 House seat?	BUY	90.0¢	1,500	Feb 24
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-20 House seat?	BUY	90.0¢	1,812.07	Feb 24
Will the Republican Party win the TX-05 House seat?	BUY	90.0¢	979.27	Feb 20
Will the Democratic Party win the IN-07 House seat?	BUY	90.0¢	861	Feb 20
Will the Democratic Party win the KY-03 House seat?	BUY	90.0¢	231.3	Feb 20
Will the Democratic Party win the PA-05 House seat?	BUY	89.0¢	440	Feb 20
Will the Democratic Party win the GA-10 House seat?	BUY	88.0¢	826	Feb 20
Will the Republican Party win the MI-02 House seat?	BUY	90.0¢	887	Feb 20
Will the Republican Party win the MS-03 House seat?	BUY	90.0¢	1,268	Feb 20
Will the Democratic Party win the FL-24 House seat?	BUY	89.7¢	391	Feb 18
Will the Republican Party win the FL-24 House seat?	BUY	90.0¢	235	Feb 18
Will the Republicans win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	BUY	85.8¢	386	Feb 18
Will the Democrats win the Kansas Senate race in 2026?	BUY	86.4¢	298.7	Feb 18
Will the Democratic Party win the SC-02 House seat?	BUY	87.0¢	556.08	Feb 17
Will the Democratic Party win the CA-20 House seat?	BUY	88.0¢	330	Feb 16
Will the Democratic Party win the AR-02 House seat?	BUY	88.0¢	1,233.32	Feb 16
Will the Democratic Party win the SC-02 House seat?	BUY	88.0¢	851.32	Feb 16
Will the Republican Party win the NC-03 House seat?	BUY	85.2¢	648.07	Feb 16
Will the Democratic Party win the NC-03 House seat?	BUY	85.6¢	439.75	Feb 16
Will GPT-6 be released by March 31, 2026?	BUY	94.5¢	174	Feb 11

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing49.9

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.74

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)45.4%

Win Consistency78.0%

Profit Factor1.30

Drawdown Resilience1.05

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)1.05

Weekly Sharpe est.0.80

Trading Activity306 trades · 90 active days

P&L Calendar

$131,16612d profit77d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue