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paisano1978

0x8feea1...f3850a
Smart Score
27
Win Rate
40.5%
Total P&L
+$534
Trade Count
1,749
Sharpe Ratio
0.51
Sortino Ratio
18.20
Max Drawdown
172.0%
ROI
1.4%
Profit Factor
1.08
Kelly Fraction
0.030
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
027.1/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?SELL39.7¢33.67Mar 5
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from February 27 to March 6, 2026?SELL12.1¢48.06Mar 5
Will the US confirm that aliens exist before 2027?SELL18.0¢125Mar 5
Will Manchester City finish in 2nd place in the 2025-26 English Premier League?BUY66.0¢30.303Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 140-159 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?BUY7.4¢135.135Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 6 to March 13, 2026?BUY9.3¢107.021Mar 4
Will Elon Musk post 160-179 tweets from March 3 to March 10, 2026?BUY13.7¢72.993Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 2:10PM-2:15PM ETBUY38.9¢12.853Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 2:05PM-2:10PM ETSELL6.0¢15.96Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 2:05PM-2:10PM ETBUY31.0¢16.139Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 2:05PM-2:10PM ETSELL34.0¢18.32Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 2:05PM-2:10PM ETBUY27.0¢18.519Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1:55PM-2:00PM ETBUY29.0¢3.448Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1:55PM-2:00PM ETBUY45.0¢11.111Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1:55PM-2:00PM ETBUY31.0¢16.129Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1:50PM-1:55PM ETSELL5.0¢16.65Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1:50PM-1:55PM ETBUY6.0¢16.667Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1:45PM-1:50PM ETSELL69.9¢8.96Mar 4
Bitcoin Up or Down - March 4, 1:45PM-1:50PM ETBUY54.9¢9.107Mar 4
Will Rastriya Swatantra Party win the most seats in the Nepal House of Representatives election?SELL89.0¢27.39Mar 4

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%11%< 10%9%10–20%12%20–30%40%30–50%18%50–70%4%70–80%3%80–90%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing27.1

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.49
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)24.7%
Win Consistency65.5%
Profit Factor0.70
Drawdown Resilience0.57
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.57
Weekly Sharpe est.0.43
Trading Activity1,749 trades · 41 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$11,3979d profit32d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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