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paisley104gage

0x68e9b0...bf363a
Smart Score
38
Win Rate
64.3%
Total P&L
+$3
Trade Count
76
Sharpe Ratio
2.37
Sortino Ratio
5.64
Max Drawdown
450360000000000.0%
ROI
0.0%
Profit Factor
2.72
Kelly Fraction
0.406
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
038.3/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY1.8¢217Mar 5
Will Wes Moore win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY1.7¢5,056Mar 5
Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament?SELL99.2¢1,579Mar 5
Will Shane Lowry win the 2026 Masters tournament?BUY98.8¢1,579Mar 5
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?SELL3.0¢35.45Mar 4
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?SELL3.0¢3,520.55Mar 4
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?BUY3.9¢27Mar 4
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?BUY3.5¢1,658Mar 4
Will the Toronto Raptors win the NBA Eastern Conference Finals?BUY3.5¢1,871.31Mar 4
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL25.2¢3,945Mar 3
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY25.3¢3,945Mar 3
Will Viktor Hovland win the 2026 Masters tournament?SELL97.7¢1,043Mar 3
Will Viktor Hovland win the 2026 Masters tournament?SELL98.1¢24.49Mar 3
Will Viktor Hovland win the 2026 Masters tournament?SELL98.1¢546Mar 3
Will Viktor Hovland win the 2026 Masters tournament?BUY98.2¢1,614Mar 3
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL74.9¢2,328Mar 3
Will Gavin Newsom win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY74.9¢2,328Mar 3
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL2.1¢1,385Mar 2
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?SELL2.1¢3,328.7Mar 2
Will J.B. Pritzker win the 2028 Democratic presidential nomination?BUY2.1¢4,714Mar 2

Analytics

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Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%34%< 10%10–20%5%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%80–90%55%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing38.3

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)2.11
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)34.8%
Win Consistency45.8%
Profit Factor1.00
Drawdown Resilience0.80
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.80
Weekly Sharpe est.0.61
Trading Activity76 trades · 12 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$1095d profit7d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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