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papitonumer15

papitonumer15

0x140e6a...37bdc8@Aureliusz412247
Smart Score
0
Win Rate
74.0%
Total P&L
-$43
Trade Count
315
Sharpe Ratio
0.05
Sortino Ratio
0.04
Max Drawdown
99.7%
ROI
-0.1%
Profit Factor
-1.64
Kelly Fraction
1.000
R² (Curve Fit)
—
Smart Score
00/100100

Recent Trades

MarketSidePriceSizeTime
Will Colombia win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY98.4¢73.506Mar 5
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL98.9¢73.08Mar 5
Will Uruguay win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY98.9¢73.084Feb 26
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL99.5¢72.63Feb 26
Will Egypt win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY99.6¢72.631Feb 25
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?SELL98.9¢73.15Feb 25
Will Mexico win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?BUY99.0¢73.152Feb 24
Will Japan win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?BUY99.9¢72.412Feb 9
Will Switzerland win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?SELL99.8¢72.49Feb 9
Will Switzerland win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?BUY99.9¢72.492Feb 9
Will Sweden win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?SELL99.6¢72.71Feb 9
Will Sweden win the most gold medals in the 2026 Winter Olympics?BUY99.8¢72.715Feb 9
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?SELL97.8¢74.2Feb 9
Will the Fed decrease interest rates by 50+ bps after the April 2026 meeting?BUY98.0¢74.204Jan 26
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?SELL96.8¢75.03Jan 26
Will Donald Trump win the 2028 US Presidential Election?BUY97.1¢75.039Jan 15
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?SELL99.9¢72.91Jan 6
Will Elon Musk post 420-439 tweets from December 30 to January 6, 2026?BUY99.6¢72.914Jan 5
Will Trump nominate no one before 2027?SELL99.6¢20.06Jan 5
Will Trump nominate Stephen Miran as the next Fed chair?SELL99.6¢20.06Jan 5

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

100%75%50%25%< 10%10–20%20–30%30–50%50–70%70–80%4%80–90%95%> 90%
← Long ShotsSafe Bets →
Quantitative Edge Profile
Developing0

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.00
Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)0.0%
Win Consistency55.0%
Profit Factor0.00
Drawdown Resilience0.00
Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.00
Weekly Sharpe est.0.00
Trading Activity315 trades · 37 active days
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLessMore
P&L Calendar
$41011d profit22d loss
MarAprMayJunJulAugSepOctNovDecJanFebMarMoWeFrSuLossProfit

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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