Parliament101

0x709dfd...6919db

Smart Score

Win Rate

72.2%

Total P&L

-$279

Trade Count

237

Sharpe Ratio

-0.47

Sortino Ratio

-0.60

Max Drawdown

1135.8%

ROI

-5.1%

Profit Factor

0.63

Kelly Fraction

0.000

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

05.8/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will France win the 2026 FIFA World Cup?	BUY	10.6¢	30	Mar 4
Will Costco (COST) beat quarterly earnings?	BUY	94.0¢	50	Mar 4
Will Tesla (TSLA) close above $390 on March 5?	BUY	95.0¢	60	Mar 4
Will there be between 10 and 13 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?	BUY	98.0¢	20	Mar 3
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	SELL	24.0¢	2.8	Mar 3
Will Real Madrid win the 2025–26 La Liga?	SELL	24.0¢	57.197	Mar 3
Will Barcelona win the 2025–26 La Liga?	BUY	75.0¢	80	Mar 2
Will there be between 10 and 13 US strikes on Somalia in February 2026?	BUY	96.9¢	20	Mar 2
Will "Scream 7" Opening Weekend Box Office be between 60m and 65m?	BUY	93.9¢	50	Mar 2
Will "Wuthering Heights" Third Weekend Box Office be between 6m and 7m?	BUY	97.9¢	7	Mar 2
Will Mark Teixeira be the Republican nominee for TX-21?	BUY	95.5¢	10.72	Mar 2
Will the US next strike Iran on February 28, 2026 (ET)?	BUY	98.9¢	100	Feb 28
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	SELL	60.0¢	60	Feb 28
Will the Iranian regime fall by June 30?	BUY	50.0¢	60	Feb 28
Will Google have the #3 AI model at the end of February 2026?	BUY	94.0¢	21.277	Feb 27
Will Meta (META) close above $640 end of February?	BUY	95.0¢	15.781	Feb 27
Will Anthropic have the #2 AI model at the end of February 2026?	BUY	95.0¢	31.579	Feb 27
Will the US not strike Iran by February 28, 2026?	BUY	94.0¢	10.638	Feb 27
Will the US next strike Iran on February 27, 2026 (ET)?	BUY	98.0¢	20.408	Feb 27
Will Google have the #3 AI model at the end of February 2026?	BUY	94.0¢	21.277	Feb 27

Odds DistributionBalanced / Mid-Range

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing5.8

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)0.32

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)5.3%

Win Consistency43.4%

Profit Factor0.15

Drawdown Resilience0.12

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.12

Weekly Sharpe est.0.09

Trading Activity237 trades · 78 active days

P&L Calendar

$2,11325d profit53d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue