0xa50dd1...b038a4

Smart Score

Win Rate

88.5%

Total P&L

+$348

Trade Count

582

Sharpe Ratio

-0.03

Sortino Ratio

-0.06

Max Drawdown

96672.0%

ROI

0.2%

Profit Factor

2.99

Kelly Fraction

0.589

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

025.4/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
Will Opinion launch a token by March 31, 2026?	SELL	99.9¢	187.62	Mar 5
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	BUY	5.4¢	520.64	Mar 5
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	BUY	5.4¢	185.185	Mar 5
Opinion FDV above $250M one day after launch?	SELL	94.6¢	128.37	Mar 5
Will Marco Rubio win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	90.3¢	110.742	Mar 4
Will Kamala Harris win the 2028 US Presidential Election?	BUY	96.9¢	10.32	Mar 4
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $60,000 on March 4?	BUY	99.8¢	1,335.992	Mar 3
Will the price of Bitcoin be above $54,000 on March 3?	BUY	99.9¢	100.1	Mar 2
SBF released from custody in 2026?	SELL	87.0¢	357.63	Mar 2
SBF released from custody in 2026?	SELL	87.0¢	1.149	Mar 2
SBF released from custody in 2026?	SELL	87.0¢	5.61	Mar 2
SBF released from custody in 2026?	SELL	87.0¢	11.494	Mar 2
SBF released from custody in 2026?	SELL	87.0¢	5.74	Mar 2
SBF released from custody in 2026?	SELL	87.0¢	618.37	Mar 2
Will Ja Morant win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	SELL	0.1¢	39.24	Mar 2
Will Ja Morant win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	SELL	0.1¢	5	Mar 2
Will Ja Morant win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	SELL	0.1¢	1,000	Mar 2
Will Ja Morant win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	SELL	0.1¢	66,604.74	Mar 1
Will Ja Morant win the 2025–2026 NBA MVP?	SELL	0.1¢	1,000	Mar 1
Will the price of Bitcoin be less than $56,000 on March 2?	BUY	99.8¢	100.2	Mar 1

Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

← Long ShotsSafe Bets →

Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing25.4

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.40

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)23.1%

Win Consistency22.3%

Profit Factor0.66

Drawdown Resilience0.53

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.53

Weekly Sharpe est.0.41

Trading Activity582 trades · 74 active days

P&L Calendar

$77,4277d profit66d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue