Pasvikelva3

0x09d600...4e0fda

Smart Score

Win Rate

69.1%

Total P&L

+$41.7K

Trade Count

991

Sharpe Ratio

0.99

Sortino Ratio

1.22

Max Drawdown

146.6%

ROI

18.3%

Profit Factor

1.90

Kelly Fraction

0.327

R² (Curve Fit)

—

Smart Score

028.7/100100

Recent Trades

Market	Side	Price	Size	Time
US forcibly removes Khamenei from power by March 31?	SELL	31.5¢	809.98	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	SELL	0.8¢	1,589.04	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	SELL	0.8¢	125	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	SELL	0.8¢	300	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	SELL	0.8¢	111	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by March 31?	SELL	0.8¢	1,007.54	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	SELL	1.7¢	13.57	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	SELL	1.7¢	5	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	SELL	1.7¢	0.32	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	SELL	1.7¢	0.01	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	SELL	1.7¢	352.353	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	SELL	1.7¢	0.02	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	SELL	1.7¢	94.4	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	SELL	1.7¢	1.35	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	SELL	1.7¢	28.56	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	SELL	1.7¢	191.69	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	SELL	1.7¢	176.471	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	SELL	1.7¢	11.14	Feb 28
Khamenei out as Supreme Leader of Iran by February 28?	SELL	1.7¢	0.08	Feb 28
Will Anthropic have the best AI model at the end of February 2026?	SELL	99.3¢	18.8	Feb 28

Analytics

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Odds DistributionFavorite / High-Confidence

Entry price distribution — reveals preference for long shots vs safe bets

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Quantitative Edge Profile

Developing28.7

Multi-dimensional edge evaluation as a quant desk would assess a portfolio manager

Risk-Adjusted Return (Sharpe)1.58

Equity Curve R² (Linear Fit)26.1%

Win Consistency78.8%

Profit Factor0.75

Drawdown Resilience0.60

Conviction Sizing (Kelly)0.60

Weekly Sharpe est.0.46

Trading Activity991 trades · 49 active days

P&L Calendar

+$2,83325d profit24d loss

Daily realized P&L — green is profit, red is loss, intensity is magnitude

Full 52-week Trading Activity & P&L Calendar — interactive, updated daily on Accrue

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